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Scenario Planning and Strategic Thinking

The business world is facing increased complexity and consequently strategic thinking and scenario planning needs to simplify future thinking and actions. Uncertainty requires flexible decision making. This programme provides a framework that embraces what is certain and what we cannot control in the business environment.

Category: Executive Education


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Topic: Strategy
iGIBS Topic: 
Management level:
Faculty: Chantell Illbury & Clem Sunter
Start date: 06 February 2012
Arrival time: 08:00
Start Time: 08:30
End date: 07 February 2012
End time: 17:00
Venue: Gordon Institute of Business Science, 26 Melville Rd, Illovo, Johannesburg
Map:
Target audience:
Programme fee:
R 11950.00
:
R
:
R
Course duration: 2 days
Application entry deadline:
Name: Programme Manager
e-Mail: execed@gibs.co.za
Telephone: +27 (0) 11 771 4347
Fax:
Target audience:
URL:

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Introduction

The business world is facing increased complexity and consequently strategic thinking and scenario planning needs to simplify future thinking and actions. Uncertainty requires flexible decision making. This programme provides a framework that embraces what is certain and what we cannot control in the business environment.


How you will benefit

This programme is designed to develop your capacity to think strategically and help you to construct and develop the necessary tools to do so.

  • Understand scenario planning including the use and construction of scenarios.
  • Formulate a strategy and tactics
  • Create a framework for strategic conversations
  • Harness your ability to innovate and create through conversation and interaction
  • Develop flexible thinking around strategy
  • Shape a more developed and dynamic approach to strategy

Who should attend?

Senior executives with the authority to plan and execute strategy in their organisations


Faculty

Chantell Illbury

Chantell Illbury is one of South Africa 's most exciting scenario strategists and facilitators, working locally and internationally. She believes passionately in the power of scenario thinking to help open one's mind and then focus it more effectively, making it the most operative form of business strategising in the new economy.

After completing her BSc. and HDE she started a career in education, firstly as a teacher and then as a designer of computer-based training material for industry as well as bridging courses for post-matric students. In 1995 Chantell expanded her approach to education when she founded Scienceworks - South Africa 's first science communication company.

She pioneered a radical learner-based approach to science education, which she then incorporated into the design, manufacturing, retail and eventual export, of a range of 16 creative science kits aimed at the 7-16 age group. It was whilst completing her Executive MBA at the UCT Graduate School of Business that Chantell first met Anglo-American's Clem Sunter who introduced her to scenario planning.

The collaboration led to their co-writing of the number one best-selling book ‘The Mind of a Fox - Scenario Planning in Action’, which is about to go into its tenth edition. Their writing of a second book is presently underway. As a scenario-planning strategist, Chantell has consulted at both a national and international level.
 
Clem Sunter

Clem Sunter was educated at Winchester College. He went to Oxford where he read Politics, Philosophy and Economics before joining Charter Consolidated as a management trainee in 1966.

In 1971 he moved to Lusaka in Zambia to work for Anglo American Corporation Central Africa. From there he was transferred in 1973 to the Head Office of Anglo American Corporation of South Africa in Johannesburg. He spent most of his subsequent career in the Gold and Uranium Division, serving as its Chairman and CEO from 1990 to 1996. At the time, it was the largest gold producer in the world. He is now Chairman of the Anglo American Chairman’s Fund, which in a recent survey was rated the premier corporate social responsibility fund in South Africa.

In the early 1980s, he established a scenario planning function in Anglo with teams in London and Johannesburg. Two members were Pierre Wack and Ted Newland who headed up the scenario planning function at Royal Dutch Shell and then acted as consultants to Anglo for over a decade (after their retirement from Shell). Using material from these teams, Mr Sunter put together a presentation entitled ‘The World and South Africa in the 1990s’ which became very popular in South Africa in the mid-1980s. In it, two scenarios were offered for South Africa: the ‘High Road’ of negotiation leading to a political settlement and the ‘Low Road’ of confrontation leading to a civil war and a wasteland. South Africa took the High Road. Two highlights were a presentation to FW De Klerk and the Cabinet in 1986 and a visit to Nelson Mandela in prison to discuss the future just before his release in 1990.

Since then he has authored and co-authored 12 books some of which have been bestsellers. One of his recent books ‘The Mind of a Fox’ was the No. 1 selling book in South Africa in 2002 and is still No. 2. It deals with the methodology of scenario planning and was co-written with Chantell Ilbury. His other main interest is attempting to mobilise the private sector in the war against HIV/AIDS.


Duration: 2 days


Fees: The fee of R11 950 includes tuition, instruction material, textbooks, lunches and refreshments, and is VAT exempt. No registration will be confirmed without payment.


Cancellation Policy
Delegates who cancel their registration after the closing date for registrations, or where there is no closing date, less than 14 days prior to programme commencement, will be liable for 50% of the programme fee. Those who do not arrive for the programme will be liable for the full fee. Notification of cancellation must be sent in writing either via e-mail or via fax. All who cancel or do not attend must return the course material intact.


Contact Details:
Tel: 011 771-4313
E-mail:execed@gibs.co.za

   

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